- Eric D. Brown, D.Sc.
- Posts
- When AI talks to itself
When AI talks to itself
Self-Learning AI Systems Create Illusions of Progress While Quietly Undermining Their Own Foundations
AI doesn't just learn anymore…it teaches itself. For executives leading today's technology revolution, understanding the consequences of self-reinforcing AI matters for your bottom line.
Just as this staircase spirals downward in ever-tightening circles, AI systems that learn from their own outputs can create a recursive descent that gradually erodes accuracy and reliability. Photo by Brannon Naito on Unsplash
The latest trend is that AI models use their own outputs as training data. This approach shows impressive short-term results but creates a ticking time bomb many organizations will face in the coming years.
When AI systems repeatedly learn from their own outputs, they gradually drift from reality…and even collapse in accuracy. Think of it like a game of telephone: each round introduces small distortions until the final message bears little resemblance to the original.
This isn't theoretical. Many companies implementing AI today are unwittingly building systems that will become less accurate and more disconnected from real-world needs over time.
Here's what you need to know without getting too technical:
The Promise: Recursive AI techniques are showing remarkable early results, boosting performance by 80%+ in some specialized tasks
The Problem: Without proper controls, these systems can create feedback loops that gradually degrade performance
The Timeline: Researchers predict significant issues could emerge within the next 2-3 years as AI-generated content becomes dominant online
Why This Matters to Your Business
As a CEO or senior leader, this isn't just a technical curiosity, it has real implications for your AI strategy:
Investment Protection: Systems showing impressive initial ROI may degrade over time if built on unconstrained recursive techniques
Competitive Risk: Organizations implementing AI without understanding these dynamics could face unexpected performance cliffs
Strategic Planning: The sustainability of AI initiatives now depends on thinking several steps ahead about data quality and verification
Having implemented AI systems across multiple organizations, it's clear that recursive enhancement looks incredibly attractive in quarterly reports. The immediate gains are tangible. But like many business decisions that optimize for short-term metrics, there's a longer-term challenge emerging.
Think of it as similar to a financial debt spiral. Each new round of enhancement borrows a little against future performance until, eventually, the system can no longer sustain itself.
Three Business Risks You Can't Ignore
Performance Degradation: Systems showing strong initial returns may gradually produce lower-quality outputs and require costly retraining
Competitive Vulnerability: Your competitors using more sustainable AI practices will maintain quality while your systems decline
Data Dependency: Organizations become trapped in expensive cycles of data acquisition as synthetic content dominates public sources
I've repeatedly seen this pattern in my work with technology companies. A team implements a new system that initially delivers remarkable results. Leadership celebrates the wins. Then, six months later, performance mysteriously declines…often after significant business processes have become dependent on these systems. It has happened with other technologies and its going to happen with AI.
Five Executive Actions to Take Now
Require transparency about recursion in AI procurement: When evaluating AI vendors, ask specifically about how their systems handle recursive improvement and what safeguards exist.
Establish data governance for AI training: Ensure your organization maintains access to verified, high-quality data rather than becoming dependent on synthetic content.
Implement performance monitoring beyond accuracy: Track output diversity, novelty, and other measures that might indicate early signs of model degradation.
Create feedback diversity policies: Ensure AI systems receive input from varied human sources rather than primarily from their own outputs.
Balance domain focus with breadth: Systems that become too specialized can accelerate toward collapse…maintain some breadth in your AI applications
The Balanced Approach for Business Leaders
Smart leaders recognize that successful AI implementation isn't about having the most advanced technology. It's about creating systems that deliver consistent value over time. The organizations that will win the AI race aren't simply those moving fastest today but those building sustainable practices that avoid the collapse from recursive systems consuming their own outputs.
As you develop your AI strategy, prioritize stability and long-term performance over flashy short-term gains. Your shareholders will thank you when competitors' systems falter while yours maintains its edge.
If you found this post helpful, consider sharing it with another executive grappling with AI, technology, and data. If you want to explore AI and other Technology strategies, grab some time on my calendar, and let's chat.
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